What is the Golden Butterfly portfolio really made of?

Five equal slices: US total market, US small-cap value, long and short Treasuries, and gold.

Measured on 2026-09-15

Where the risk sits

Since last week

First measured on 2026-09-15. The comparison with the week before appears after seven days of measurements.

The reading, in full

PORTFOLIO: Golden Butterfly
2004-11-18 to 2026-09-15 · 5,488 trading days · USD

5 holdings.
65% is one shared direction, led by VBR, VTI, TLT.

VBR: 20% of the money, 41% of the risk.
Volatility 9% · worst fall on record 21%.
Risk 9% → 10% over the last year, mostly because the holdings moved together differently.

Descriptive. No forecast, no advice. Every figure above is measured over the window named at the top.
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What this does not say

• Every figure is measured on past daily prices over the window below. It is not a forecast of returns or losses.
• The window starts when the youngest fund began trading, so older crises may lie outside it.
• These are model allocations as they are commonly described, not recommendations; the weights measured are the ones printed above.

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Other portfolios

Measured 2004-11-18 to 2026-09-15 over 5,488 trading days, in USD, from yahoo prices. Descriptive: this page reports what these holdings have done and how their risk is built. It does not forecast returns or losses and it is not advice. How every figure is measured. Terms and privacy: /terms. If a figure looks wrong: [email protected].